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  • Krone Weidler

NIC Lending Trends Report Shows Reduced Lending Activity in 4Q 2023

In 2023, the senior housing and nursing care sectors experienced a notable slowdown in lending activity. This trend was primarily influenced by the Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady, which fostered a cautious lending environment. Both lenders and borrowers found themselves adjusting to changing capital market conditions and the prospect of higher-for-longer interest rates.

Impact on Senior Housing

The senior housing sector saw a significant reduction in new construction loan closings. This decline can be attributed to the uncertainty surrounding interest rates and the broader economic landscape. Developers and investors were more hesitant to embark on new projects, leading to a subdued market for new construction loans.

Additionally, total loan balances in the senior housing sector experienced a decline. This reduction reflects a broader trend of decreased borrowing activity and a more conservative approach by lenders. The decline in loan balances was accompanied by a decrease in delinquency rates, suggesting that those who did secure loans were able to manage their repayments effectively.

Nursing Care Sector Trends

The nursing care sector displayed a different pattern, with construction and loan balances remaining relatively unchanged throughout the year. However, the fourth quarter of 2023 saw a notable increase in delinquency rates. This rise in delinquencies indicates potential financial stress within the sector, possibly due to operational challenges or increased costs that outpaced revenue growth.

Market Adjustments

The overall cautious lending environment in 2023 can be seen as a response to the broader economic uncertainties and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance. Lenders and borrowers alike were compelled to reassess their strategies and adapt to the evolving market conditions. This adjustment period has resulted in reduced lending activity, particularly in new construction loans for senior housing.

Looking Ahead

As we move into 2024, it will be crucial to monitor how these trends evolve. The senior housing and nursing care sectors may continue to face challenges, but opportunities for growth and recovery remain. Stakeholders in these sectors should stay informed about capital market conditions and be prepared to adapt to ongoing changes in the lending landscape.

For more detailed insights and data, the NIC Lending Trends Report provides a comprehensive analysis of the lending activity in these critical sectors. As the market adjusts to the new economic realities, staying informed will be key to navigating the challenges and capitalizing on the opportunities ahead.

Krone Weidler, Founder & Principal

Cadre Healthcare Realty Advisors

1095 SE 177th Place, Suite 404-M14

Summerfield, FL 34491

C: (813) 842-2365

O: (866) 355-3594


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